Balaji loses $1 million bitcoin bet as U.S. dollar fails to collapse

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Quick Take

  • Former Coinbase CTO Balaji Srinivasan lost his bet that bitcoin would surge to $1 million. 

Balaji Srinivasan, the former Coinbase chief technology officer turned investor, lost his bet that the price of bitcoin would soar to $1 million as the U.S. economy experienced hyperinflation. 

Conceding defeat yesterday, Srinivasan paid $500,000 to James Medlock, a pseudonymous Twitter user who proposed the bet in March. He split a further $1 million between the charity Give Directly and Chaincode Labs, a Bitcoin research center. 

"I settled the bet early with Balajis," Medlock tweeted on Tuesday. "Took some time to work out the details but he proceeded in good faith and you can see the receipt of funds on chain in the next tweet. $500k to me (so I get 30% post tax as planned) and 500k to GiveDirectly."

Balaji's bitcoin bet

The bizarre chain of events was set in motion when Medlock posted a tweet on March 16 saying, "I’ll bet anyone $1 million dollars that the U.S. does not enter hyperinflation."

Srinivasan, who has more than 900,000 followers on Twitter, responded with, “I will take that bet.” He asked Medlock to buy one bitcoin and promised to send him $1 million after 90 days if the cryptocurrency's price hadn't climbed to $1 million.

“This is one of those tweets that just popped into my head and I sent it in 10 seconds without thinking about it. Wild to think how different my life would be if I had never clicked ‘tweet,’” Medlock tweeted on Tuesday.

Srinivasan's failed bet drew mockery from some, with Bloomberg journalist Joe Weisenthal tweeting that it had helped "raise awareness about the soundness of fiat currency."

As of the time of writing, bitcoin is trading at $28,517, according to CoinGecko data. 


© 2025 The Block. All Rights Reserved. This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.

AUTHOR

Andrew Rummer is executive editor for The Block Pro, based in London. He was previously managing editor at Bloomberg News and led special projects at Finimize. He has a degree in engineering from the University of Oxford. Follow him on Twitter at @AJRummer.

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To contact the editor of this story: Larry DiTore at [email protected]

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